Sinah Ball - Is Sinah Ball my grandmother? Note #2.

Sir Richard Beauchamp, 2nd Baron Beauchamp of Powick is your 14th great grandfather.

You
→ Leff Lewis Clounch
your father → Virgie Clounch
his mother → Mary Roberson
her mother → Polly Hollis
her mother → James Madison McCarty, Sr.
her father → Jacob McCarty
his father → Sinah Ball
his mother → Mary Ball
her mother → Edwin Conway, Gent., of Lancaster
her father → Edwin Conway
his father → Sir Edward Conway, 1st Viscount Conway
his father → Helen Greville
his mother → Elizabeth Willoughby, 3rd Baroness Willoughby of Broke
her mother → Edward Willoughby
her father → Elizabeth Willoughby
his mother → Sir Richard Beauchamp, 2nd Baron Beauchamp of Powick
her father

OK, Richard's daughter, Elizabeth Willoughby, is also the MRCA of Frances Hines, (Frances Ellen (Hines) Blythe is your 13th cousin twice removed.) with whom I have a DNA match. Which path is more likely? 21st great-grandfather path, or the 14th great-grandfather path? This may be evidence that yes, Sinah Ball is my grandmother. I also have 3 other DNA cousins who can either be via Sinah Ball, or the Hodges pathway. I must evaluate these to see which pathway is shorter. I do not know how DNA can rule out Sinah Ball, however. But the evidence is mounting that she is likely to be my grandmother because she is 7 generations closer in terms of tying an MRCA to me.